Ammonia capacity in North America is not likely to double in the next five years – but it will if every new plant and expansion project being pursued today goes into production.
Much more likely is that 6.65 million tons of annual ammonia capacity will come online between 2014 and 2018, based on the information available in January 2014.
Including the 840,000 tons per year that already came online in 2012 and 2013, North American ammonia capacity will have increased by more than 42%, from 17.7 million tons per year in 2011, to 25.2 million tons per year in 2018.
Almost all of this growth will take place in the US.
Note that, invariably, some of the likely projects will not happen. Equally, some of the unlikely projects will happen. Also note that “capacity” is not “production” (annual production might be something like 80-90% of capacity).
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